After a breakout season in 2011, Alex Avila was one of the most drafted catchers in Fantasy Baseball. Unfortunately, Avila didn't produce up to standards in April. However, despite his struggles, Avila still is a top 10 Fantasy catcher and owners shouldn't cut bait with him. In fact, he's probably going tp pay major dividends for you as the season progresses.
A closer look at Avila's numbers and you will see he's been a bit unlucky through the first month of the season. Entering play Wednesday, Avila owns a .194 BABIP through 18 games. He had a .366 BABIP last season, which is above the norm, but Avila is a very good line-drive hitter. His line-drive percent through 18 games is 27.3 and his flyball rate is just 27.3 percent. Avila's career average for flyball rate is 37.9 percent. If Avila keeps hitting line-drives at his current pace, then his luck should change.
Also, Avila hasn't been very aggressive at the plate through the first month of the season. He's swinging at just 36.2 percent of the pitches he sees, and making contact with just 79.5 percent of the pitches in the strike zone and 71.3 percent of the pitches he offers at.
Avila's numbers are below the norm right now in many critical categories, which is why I feel he's headed for an eventual market correction for the better. I advise Fantasy owners to stick with Avila and he's an excellent buy-low candidate if you can find a frustrated Avila owner.