Tag:St. Louis Cardinals
Posted on: April 30, 2012 11:53 am

Market is open for correction

Two of the biggest surprises of the first month of the season have been Diamondbacks pitcher Joe Saunders and Cardinals pitcher Kyle Lohse. Undrafted in many Fantasy formats, Saunders and Lohse are both top 20 Fantasy pitchers in both Head-to-Head and Rotisserie formats. Lohse is even second behind Jake Peavy in both formats heading into Week 5 (April 30-May 6).

But the question every Fantasy owner is asking: Will it last?

And while it certainly doesn't seem like I'm going out on a limb here by saying no because both pitchers have spotty track records. The numbers show both pitchers have been very lucky early on.

Saunders has a .214 BABIP and Lohse is even better at .208. That is well below the norm, which is .290-.300. If they were closer to that median, then it would be worth getting excited over. Unfortunately, it looks as though both players will be headed for market corrections, so you can either ride the hot streaks until they cool off or sell high and grab a buy-low candidate that hasn't hit their stride yet.

It's also worth pointing out tha Saunders' opponents this year have been the Padres, Pirates, Braves and Marlins. San Diego, Pittsburgh and Miami have the three worst team batting averages in the NL.

Lohse has faced the the Marlins, Reds (twice), Pirates and Brewers. All of those teams are hitting .240 or worse, which ranks in the bottom seven in the NL.

Don't get me wrong. I feel Lohse and Saunders are both viable Fantasy arms, but as back-of-the-rotation options. Not the front-leading arms they have been through April.  
Posted on: April 8, 2012 2:16 pm

Action Jackson

-Tigers outfielder Austin Jackson might finally be developing into the breakout Fantasy player we have been waiting for. He had a great opening series against the Red Sox and that should help boost his confidence. Jackson worked this offseason on changing his approach at the plate, so he could cut down on his strikeouts. Manager Jim Leyland also called him at one point the key to the Tigers offense.

-Martin Prado is one of my favorite players to have a bounce-back season this year and he hasn't disappointed. Prado had a great spring training and hit his first homer of the 2012 season over the weekend against the Mets. He's playing with a chip in his shoulder after being mentioned heavily in trade rumors during the offseason.

-We are already seeing the early dividends the new dimensions at Citi Field have helped left-handed slugger Lucas Duda. He hit just two homers and had a .451 slugging percentage in 48 games at Citi Field last season. Duda had a two-homer game Saturday against Atlanta. He pulled both homers. Duda has breakout Fantasy player written all over him.

-If you have read some of my past articles, then you know I'm a big fan of Cardinals prospect Matt Adams. I feel he gets a bad wrap from scouts because he's not an all-around prospect since his defense is suspect. But there's nothing suspect about his offense. He has homered in each of his first three games at the Triple-A level this season. He now has a career .559 slugging percentage and .925 OPS. If he keeps hitting like this, then St. Louis might have no choice but to bring him to the majors. Adams also had some big hits this spring, including a grand slam against the Mets.
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